This is the editorial article being written by C, Rangarajan on recent report published about slow growth of GSP and GVA.
- Report from CSO – Central Statistics Office
- Indian GDP in the first quarter of 2017 is 5.7 %, down from 7.6 last year.
- GVA – Grows Value Added grew at at 5.6 %
- Manufacturing Growth is even worse which is just 1.2 %.
- Our Economy growth has fallen from 6 % which is way lower then RBI predictions.
- Possible Reasons Behind the Lower Growth
- Most important and wide spread reasons are GST implementation which has forced de-stocking and not manufacturing new stocks due to un predictability in the tax rates.
- Demonetization effect which hit the unorganized sectors heaving, loss in jobs and affected the agricutlure sector growth.
- Other Possible Reasons for the Low Growth Apart from above two
- Growth rates are affected by Both Internal and External Demands – like export growth.
- Low Export Growth Rate or even negative export has slowed down the entire economy which came at the same time as low growth rate
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- From 2014-15 growth is negative.
- Low Growth rate is due to advancement of exporting countries like china, usa etc.
- Ruppe value is getting stronger which is negatively affecting the export sector as well.
- Fall in Investment Rate
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- Sharp decline in the investment rate in the recent years it is 27.%, decline is more in private investment.
- Both Corporate and Household investment is being decreased.
- Recent investment has not resulted in employment rate as well.
- Growth is related to employment as – Better utilization of the resource available and more investment to use the resources.
- Low iinvestmentin FDI in the first quarter of 2017.
- How to Increase the Accelerate the Economy Further
- Bring Private investment
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- Bring right investment this will increase the growth.
- Create the environment to flow the money – ease of doing business.
- Few recent changes to accommodate are ease of doing business are – Bankruptncy Code, GST and FDI rule change.
- Focus on Governance and NPA Issue
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- Indian banks need huge money and get away from NPA to offer better credit for the investment.
- Increase the disinvestment to fill the gap which banks needed.
- Fix the infrastructure project which are stalled.
- Focus on SMES – analyse industrry specifc issues and give them way to solve them.
- To Conclude,
After GST settlment growth may pic back to 6.5% or so, to move the economy further focus on private and public investments which will ease the pressure on slow growth of economy.Source The Hindu
More Article on Economic Growth :
- Understanding the Slow Down In Economy : Slow Growth Reasons and Remedy – The Hindu Editorial on 16th Sept.